Phd, Assistant Professor
LMU Munich
Chair of International Economics,
LMU Munich,
Room 223, Ludwigstr. 28, Front Building
80539 Munich, Germany
Working Papers
Mind the Break-Up: When Policy Disrupts Firms’ Supply Chains (joint with Holger Breinlich and Elsa Leromain) (May 2026)
Paper Awarded with CITP Innovation Funds
This paper examines how policy-induced supply-chain shocks affect firms' performances, using the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) as a source of exogenous variation. Using UK microdata on firm-level goods and services trade linked to firm's outcomes and employer-employee records, we document a sharp decline in firms’ imports of intermediate goods from the EU after 2021. We then show that firms more exposed to EU input sourcing experience declines in employment and sales, with corresponding effects on workers’ hours and pay. These impacts are heterogeneous across occupations, with larger losses concentrated among lower-skilled roles. Interestingly, we find that firms' services activities play an important role in mediating the impact of GVCs disruptions. On the one hand, these firms experience smaller declines in intermediate inputs imports; on the other hand, they experience stronger negative reactions to the overall GVC shock.
The Spillover Effect of Services Offshoring on Local Labour Markets (Updated December 2025)
Revise and Resubmit, European Economic Review
This study provides new empirical evidence on the direct and indirect impact of services offshoring on local labour market employment and wages. I construct a unique firm-level dataset locating offshoring flows at the postcode level in the UK between 2000-2015. Exploiting quasi-random variation in firms' services offshoring across local labour markets, I find positive employment and wages elasticities to services offshoring within local labour markets. Spillovers from offshoring raise demand for labour for firms within a local labour market, including those not involved directly in services offshoring. Finally, I show that services offshoring increases employment and wage dispersion within local labour markets.
Media Coverage: The Daily Telegraph, Soapbox Science Video